|
I.
Background
1. A year ago the twelfth session of the Committee
on Statistics recommended that statistics on
the information society should be included on
the agenda of the next sessions of the Committee
and its subsidiary bodies. For the basis
of discussion at the 2001 session of the Working
Group of Statistical Experts, the secretariat
was requested to prepare a paper exploring alternatives
for developing statistical frameworks to measure
the field of information technology. The
Committee advised the secretariat to take into
account the relevant work done elsewhere, in
particular by UNDP, OECD and countries in the
region. The present document has been
prepared in response to that request, except
that it does not propose any frameworks; that
content has been contributed by the Australian
Bureau of Statistics in document E/ESCAP/WGSE.12/6.
2. The Working Group may also recall that the
Committee recommended adding information and
communication technologies (ICT) and the knowledge-based
economy as a priority item in the programme
of work in statistics, 2002-2003 and to make
a corresponding modification in the statistics
medium-term plan 2002-2005. In the substantive
discussion at the Committee, a suggestion was
made that the United Nations Statistics Division
or ESCAP should prepare a manual on measuring
IT related activities.
3. While endorsing the above recommendations
at its fifty-seventh session in April 2001,
the Commission requested the secretariat to
facilitate the sharing of regional experiences
on the measurement of the digital economy through
training and other means, and to obtain extrabudgetary
funding for that purpose, if necessary.
The secretariat was also requested to produce
a document on best practices for the measurement
of electronic commerce activities in the region.
4. Having recently started planning its work
on the topic of measuring the information society
and the knowledge-based economy, the secretariat
hopes to receive guidance from the Working Group
on specific points listed in paragraph
57 of this document.
II.
Measurement challenges
5. By and large, national statistical systems
are geared towards capturing social and economic
data using tried and tested methods, techniques
and classifications. Focus areas in economic
statistics, for instance, include the production
of goods and services, international trade,
value added, labour force and capital, in other
words the fundamentals that are needed for measuring
an economy and its productivity.
6. Starting with mass production of microcomputers
in the mid-1980s and accelerating after the
popularization of the Internet in the latter
half of the 1990s, the latest technological
revolution poses one of the toughest measurement
challenges in recent history. Information
and communication technologies (ICT) have done
away with many borders that in earlier days
conveniently circumscribed the measurement process.
Networking and mobile communications have made
any place a workplace and blurred the boundaries
between working time, leisure and learning time.
The divergence and vertical integration of products
and services is accelerating and the latter
increasingly fail to fit into standard industry
and product classifications. Significantly,
ICT also offer opportunities for increased participation
of often marginalized groups, disabled people,
rural residents, etc.
7. As all these developments are very rapid,
probably faster than any statistical system
could ever adapt to (considering available resources),
NSOs are challenged to provide statistics before
conceptual frameworks are in place. Another
difficulty is on the data side. Obtaining
reliable data from enterprises, households and
the public is not easy, especially about ICT
expenditures and prices.
8. As the Committee on Statistics recognized
at its twelfth session, it was natural that
the first data on the information society would
be restricted to indicators that were easy to
obtain, for instance by extraction from traditional
data sources or by collection through regular
household or price surveys. Also, before moving
to emerging industries and trying to capture
conceptually difficult changes, it has proven
easier to survey among established industries.
9. Statisticians and researchers prefer precise
definitions for the phenomena, sectors, factors
and indicators they are trying to measure and
analyse. In the case of the information
society or the knowledge-based economy, they
will have to wait for ongoing methodological
and empirical work to provide precise definitions
for such common terms as the ICT sector, the
information society, the knowledge-based economy,
etc. The international community and institutes
working on terminology and classifications have
taken a pragmatic approach by starting from
where the measurement is easiest and indicators
comparable, and by testing and progressing gradually.
10. As the present document primarily attempts
to capture those developments, less emphasis
is given to describing the measurement of the
impact that ICT has on the society and people
in general. To assess the impact of ICT in organizations,
for instance, related expenditures and uses
of equipment and software should be analysed
together with the skills of employees.
If organizations are not changing their ways
of working, the potential productivity gains
from ICT could be marginal.
11. For the term 'information society', a large
number of definitions have been offered. www.information-society.org.uk,
for instance, defines it as a society in which
the creation, distribution, and manipulation
of information has become the most significant
economic and cultural activity. The often quoted
IBM Community Development Foundation in a 1997
report, "The Net Result - Report of the National
Working Party for Social Inclusion" defines
it as a society characterized by a high level
of information intensity in the everyday life
of most citizens, in most organizations and
workplaces; by the use of common or compatible
technology for a wide range of personal, social,
educational and business activities, and by
the ability to transmit, receive and exchange
digital data rapidly between places irrespective
of distance. Some others contrast it with
societies where the economic underpinning is
primarily industrial or agrarian.
12. For statistical development purposes, the
presentation of the elements of the information
society by a Nordic expert group might be useful.
It is reproduced below from the paper "ICT Statistics
at the New Millennium-Developing Official Statistics-Measuring
the Diffusion of ICT and its Impacts", presented
by Jeskanen-Sundström at the IAOS Satellite
Meeting on Statistics for the Information Society,
Tokyo, 30-31 August 2001 (abstract available
at http://www.stat.go.jp/english/iaos/paper/jeskanen.pdf).
Figure 1. The elements of the information society
13. Whichever definition is used, statisticians
clearly have many dimensions to capture, which
will eventually lead to using a relatively large
number of indicators. Due to differences
in economies and statistical systems, not all
of them are likely to be internationally comparable.
III.
Key players in statistical standards development
14. As the rest of this paper is structured
by subject matter, it is first perhaps useful
to note the most active players in the development
of statistical definitions, frameworks and classifications
for the measurement of the ICT sector, the information
society and the knowledge-based economy.
Table 1. Key participants
and their roles in the development of statistics
on the information society
| Actor |
Role |
| OECD Working Party on
Indicators for the Information Society (WPIIS) |
In addressing economic
policy concerns of its members, OECD, and
since 1997 its WPIIS, have developed and
harmonized indicators for measuring the
ICT sector and e-commerce, published reports
and statistics |
| Voorburg Group on Services
Statistics |
An informal voluntary
forum for exchanging views on service statistics,
established in 1986 to develop services
areas in ISIC and CPC. Today involved
in, among other issues, developing definitions
and improving classifications for statistics
on the information society. Reports to the
United Nations Statistical Commission. |
| Eurostat |
As at OECD, policy concerns
are affecting statistical work. Has
special interest in benchmarking the European
Union's eEurope initiative launched in 1999,
including the measurement of e-commerce.
Participates actively in the work of the
above groups. |
| NSOs of individual countries:
Australia, Republic of Korea, Singapore,
Canada, United States, European Union countries
Exchanges of views in subgroups; Australia;
Hong Kong, China; Japan, Republic of Korea;
Singapore met in Brisbane in May 2001.
Nordic countries as part of their regular
statistical collaboration. |
Development and adoption
of dedicated surveys, modification of existing
surveys, inclusion of questions in population
and housing censuses, use of administrative
and transaction records, publishing of ICT
sector indicators, etc. |
| Private sector |
Responded to the demand
for instant and up-to-date statistics on
the very rapidly evolving sector, which
has created a market for quick surveys and
country assessments and comparisons.
Received relatively high media attention. |
| United Nations |
United Nations Statistical
Commission is the forum for adopting international
statistical standards and classifications.
The secretariat has so far devoted relatively
few resources for related capacity building.
The Human Development Report 2001 published
by UNDP included a composite index on
technological achievements in 2001. |
IV.
Definition and classification issues
A.
ICT sector and ICT product
15. The currently used classifications of
economic activities (ISIC Rev 3) and products
(CPC v. 1.0) do not have a clearly recognizable
ICT sector and ICT product category, which shortcoming
needs to be corrected in their next revisions.
In the meantime, statistics on the information
society are being compiled using existing classifications.
16. In 1998, the OECD Working Party on Indicators
for the Information Society (WPIIS) adopted
an activity-based definition of the ICT sector.
For manufacturing industries, the products
of a candidate industry:
- must be intended to fulfil
the function of information processing and
communication including transmission and display
- must use electronic processing
to detect, measure and/or record physical
phenomena or to control a physical process
For services industries, the products of a
candidate industry:
- must be intended to enable
the function of information processing and
communication by electronic means
17. Using those principles, the ICT sector
was defined from Revision 3 of the International
Standard Industrial Classification (ISIC) as
shown in the table below (left-hand column).
Subsequent detailed reviews on the degree of
ICT specialization of the selected classes by
the Nordic countries and Australia, and a comparison
with the more detailed North American Industrial
Classification System (NAICS), point to a need
to revise the 1998 definition in respect of
classes indicated in the right-hand column.
18. The OECD WPIIS has acknowledged that the
inclusion of class 5150, in particular, would
have meant that the ICT specialization rate
would not be as high as desirable, thus leading
to a need to establish subclasses where activities
related to a mixture of ICT and non-ICT goods
and services (OECD proposal for subdividing
the class in 2002, see http://www.un.org/Depts/unsd/class/tsg-11.htm).
In this connection, it may be noted that class
5233 (other retail traded of new goods in speciality
stores) has not been included in the ICT services
sector as very few retailers exclusively sell
ICT products.
19. When compiling the first edition of "Measuring
the ICT Sector" a year ago, the OECD secretariat
noted that in particular classes 5150, 6420
and 7123 had been treated in different ways,
leading to incomparability of the sector statistics
across its member countries. Reviews by
the Nordic countries and Australia are pointing
to exclusions of class 3130 from the sector
as the ICT content, most notably cables, was
estimated to be only about a quarter of total
class activity. Table 2. Activity-based (ISIC
Rev 3) definition of the ICT sector
| OECD 1998 |
Under review in 2002 |
| Manufacturing |
|
| 3000 Office, accounting
and computing machinery |
|
| 3130 Insulated wire and
cable |
3130 to be excluded? |
| 3210 Electronic valves
and tubes and other electronic components |
|
| 3220 Television and radio
transmitters and apparatus for line telephony
and line telegraphy |
|
| 3230 Television and radio
receivers, sound or video recording or reproducing
apparatus, and associated goods |
|
| 3312 Instruments and appliances
for measuring, checking, testing, navigating
and other purposes, except industrial process
equipment |
|
| 3313 Industrial process
control equipment services |
|
| Services |
|
| 5150 Wholesaling of machinery,
equipment and supplies |
5150 to be split? |
| 6420 Telecommunications |
|
| 7123 Renting of office
machinery and equipment (including computers) |
7123 to be excluded? |
| 72
Computer and related activities |
72 to be excluded? |
20. A paper prepared by OECD for the Voorburg
Group meeting in September 2001 'Reviewing the
ICT sector definition: issues for discussion',
contains detailed information about the classes
under review. That and other documents
presented at the Örebro meeting in Sweden
are available at http://www.voorburg.scb.se/.
21. An alternative approach to defining the
ICT sector was last discussed at the Voorburg
Group meeting (Aufrant 2001, 'Some grass roots
concepts to describe and measure information
economy'). It was based on the definition
of 'ICT product' and then simply labelling the
group of industries primarily engaged in producing
ICT products as the 'ICT sector'. The
WPIIS had initially evaluated such an approach
but the idea was abandoned since it proved very
difficult to quickly extract a list of ICT products
from the ageing Central Product Classification
(CPC).
22. While there is no commonly adopted definition
for 'ICT product' among the OECD, it is understood
to be an instrument that supports the electronic
display, processing, storage and transmission
of information or a tool to handle information
by electronic means. In other words, ICT
products do not include the objects (content,
information) handled with the tool.
B.
Content product and content sector
23. There is a general agreement that the
ISIC needs need urgent improvement in respect
of information content industries. It
does not have a class for "publishing video
games" or more generally "publishing leisure
software"; the classification of audio-visual
industries is ageing, and the "data base activities"
class is poorly defined.
24. A paper presented at the September Voorburg
Group meeting contains a good discussion and
a proposal to update "the group of industries
primarily engaged in the publishing and/or the
electronic distribution of content product"
(Nivlet 2001, 'Industry classification revision
and the content sector'). In the proposal,
new content products have been filed according
to the type of content delivered and not according
to the type of supporting medium. Analogous
to the proposal of deriving the ICT sector from
the definition of ICT product, the content sector
could be defined as a group of industries primarily
engaged in the publishing and/or the electronic
distribution of content products.
25. The above approach represents a departure
from the initial thinking of WPIIS to define
electronic content, electronic content products
and the electronic content sector. The
'electronic' track proved conceptually unsuccessful
as what really needs to be observed is the content
available on an electronic communication medium,
or content combined with an electronic communication
medium. A newspaper and its Internet version
are an example where (one) content is produced
but which is published using printed and (one
type of) electronic media. Although still
commonly used, expressions such as electronic
product, digital product, electronic content
or digital content cannot be easily and explicitly
defined (for statistical purposes) and their
use can be misleading.
C.
Electronic commerce
26. The Committee on Statistics observed last
year that e-commerce transactions still appeared
to represent a marginal share of all transactions
in both countries studied (Australia and the
Republic of Korea) and that the take-off of
e-commerce had been slower than had been anticipated
a couple of years earlier. However, the
volume of business-to-business transactions
was growing and business-to-consumers e-commerce
was increasing rapidly, although the latter
continued to be restricted to selected goods,
such as books, compact discs and IT ware.
With regard to cross-border transactions, the
Committee observed that, while much of the physical
flow of goods was recorded in customs statistics,
it was difficult to distinguish which transactions
fell under e-commerce.
27. Another problem that the Committee observed
was the lack of consensus on whether conventional
electronic data interchange (EDI) should be
treated as e-commerce. Soon afterwards,
a solution was suggested by the WPIIS and its
dedicated expert group on defining and measuring
e-commerce. Based on experiences gained from
e-commerce surveys carried out by the member
states, the group concluded that one definition
could not serve all and adopted a narrow and
broad definition of e-commerce transactions
(see table below, and Nielsen 2001, http://www.stat.go.jp/english/iaos/paper/nielsen.pdf).
Basically, the narrow definition covers all
sales and purchases of goods and services through
the Internet, whereas the broad definition includes
also non-Internet EDI. Table 3. OECD definition
of electronic commerce
| Scope |
Definition (2000) |
Proposed operational
definition to be used in surveys |
| Narrow definition |
An Internet transaction
is the sale or purchase of goods or services,
whether between businesses, households,
individuals, governments, and other public
or private organisations, conducted over
the Internet. The goods and services are
ordered over the Internet, but the payment
and the ultimate delivery of the good or
service may be conducted on or off-line. |
Internet Transactions.
Orders received/placed on a Web page, over
extranets and other applications that run
over the Internet, such as EDI over the
Internet, Minitel over the Internet, or
over any other Web enabled application regardless
of how the Web is accessed (e.g. through
a mobile or a TV set, etc.). The payment
and the ultimate delivery of the goods or
services may be conducted on or off-line. |
| Broad definition |
An electronic transaction
is the sale or purchase of goods or services,
whether between businesses, households,
individuals, governments, and other public
or private organisations, conducted over
computer-mediated networks. The goods and
services are ordered over those networks,
but the payment and the ultimate delivery
of the good or service may be conducted
on or off-line. |
Electronic transactions.
Includes all Internet transactions as defined
above plus orders received/placed over EDI
or any other online applications used in
automated transactions (e.g. Minitel, interactive
telephone systems). Orders received/placed
using facsimile, telephone or non-interactive
e-mail should not be included. The payment
and the ultimate delivery of the goods or
services may be conducted on or off-line. |
V.
Sector surveys on the use of ICT
28. A number of statistical offices have been
focusing on developing definitions of the ICT
sector, ICT products and services and defining
e-commerce. That conceptual work has been
assisted by empirical statistical data collection
by using established and new vehicles.
A rather concerted effort can be observed among
a number of OECD countries in designing and
testing model questionnaires on ICT usage in
enterprises, households and the public sector.
A.
Use of ICT by individuals and households
29. The OECD's Working Party on Indicators
for the Information Society (WPIIS) has been
reviewing model questionnaires for surveys of
household ICT use. The model questionnaire
has been simplified during the course of work.
The latest revision, presented to the Voorburg
Group in September 2001 by Australia (see http://www.voorburg.scb.se/Australia_HouseholdITUse.pdf
for details), included the following modules:
- Household access to
computers and the Internet
- Household barriers
to adoption of the Internet
- Adult use of computers
and the Internet: location and frequency of
use
- Purpose and nature
of adult activities on the Internet
- Internet-commerce details:
adult activities and barriers.
30. It is suggested that additional components
of the questionnaire be added over time as technologies,
usage practices and policy interests change.
As differences in scope and coverage between
countries are unavoidable because of the use
of existing population surveys as vehicles,
it is suggested that countries note any exclusions
from scope, or areas of poor coverage.
31. To eliminate survey error, the Australian
proposal suggests using well designed samples
which are of sufficient size to produce reliable
data; careful design and testing of questions
and question sequences (whether interview-based
or self-administered); intensive training and
checking of interviewers; reducing non-response
as far as possible; and minimizing data entry,
editing and other processing errors.
32. The suggested classification variables
are
| Household characteristics |
Personal characteristics
for adults 15 years and over |
- household type
(couple no children, couple with children,
single parent, single person, other)
- household size
(number of members)
- annual household
income (expressed in ranges).
|
- age
- sex
- highest education
level received (primary, secondary,
tertiary)
- annual income
(usual gross income received)
- labour force
status (employed/not employed/not
in workforce etc)
- occupation (broad
level e.g. manager, professional).
|
33. WPIIS, which is expected to continue working
on the questionnaire and approve a final version
in the 2002 meeting, has already generally agreed
that it should include questions on frequency,
barriers and Internet activities, whereas questions
on intentions and information in respect of
children should not be included.
34. A number of views have been expressed regarding
the statistical unit, with some countries preferring
individuals as the appropriate unit, while other
countries ask household questions on access
to computers and the Internet. Opinions
differ also on the length of a recall period
for value of Internet purchases such that they
can produce unbiased annual aggregate data.
There are a number of ways to rate barriers
to Internet access and the purposes of its use,
the current model favouring relatively simple
classification models, with additional notes
for assisting inter-country comparisons.
35. Discussion also continues on whether the
purpose and activities questions should be restricted
to home use only or whether the questions should
be asked separately for home and other locations.
The latest revision of the survey asks questions
separately in respect of home and other sites
of Internet use. Another question being
reviewed relates to dealing with the location
when respondents have used a mobile access device.
B.
Use of ICT by enterprises
36. Having specialized in survey methodology
concerning the services sector, the Voorburg
Group took the responsibility of developing
a model survey on ICT usage by enterprises.
Based on the experiences from the Nordic countries,
the Voorburg Group started the elaboration of
the model survey in 1999, followed by discussions
in WPIIS and the Group in 2000. The model
questionnaire was finally adopted at the April
2001 meeting of the WPIIS. It has the
following modules and a few background questions
about the enterprise:
- General information about
ICT systems (three questions)
- Use of Internet (six questions)
- E-commerce via Internet
(twelve questions)
- E-commerce via other computer-mediated
networks (four questions)
- Barriers on use of e-commerce,
Internet and ICT in general (three questions)
37. It has been designed
- to be a flexible tool
composed of modules allowing country specific
features to be included
- to allow easy revision
to reflect the rapid changes in ICT and its
use
- to be a general survey
tool for all economic activities
- based on qualitative
core questions, an approach which is considered
to provide the most harmonized basis for country
comparisons.
C.
Use of ICT in the public sector
38. There is great interest in statistics
on the use of ICT in the public sector as those
technologies offer new means of communication
and facilitate provision of public services.
Another aspect of interest is the efficiency
of resource use. Compilation of required
data and analysis is however not as easy as
might be thought.
39. The Danish experience reported at the Voorburg
Group indicated that the main problems were
related to the tracking down of the ICT expenditure
(see Lundø 2001, "Use of ICT in the public
sector - a questionnaire based survey of Danish
municipalities", http://www.voorburg.scb.se/UseICTDanishPublic.pdf).
It was not always easy to define from the existing
accounting systems what constituted ICT expenditure.
In particular, the school sector was assumed
to account for a large, insufficiently known
part of ICT expenditure.
Table 4. Items included
in the survey on the use of ICT by municipalities
in Denmark (August 2001)
| Module |
Topic |
| 1. Website/electronic
services |
- Homepage
- Information on homepage
- Communication via homepage |
| 2. Intranet |
- Having Intranet
- Organizational coverage
- Contents |
| 3. Other ICT systems |
- Electronic filing system
.
- EDI |
| 4. ICT expenditure |
- Previous year
- Current year
- Forecast |
| 5. Strategy and cooperation |
- Strategy
- Coverage
- Cooperation with other municipalities |
| 6. Barriers to usage |
- In general
- Electronic services |
VI.
Challenges in measuring expenditures and prices
A.
Quantification of ICT expenditures
40. Experiences gained from
dedicated surveys indicate that it is difficult
to obtain reliable and comparable data about
ICT expenditures. The Swedish experience
in 1993 and 1997 was that the response rate
for questions on ICT expenditures remained below
the rate that would allow publication of the
results (see http://www.voorburg.scb.se/Paper
Voorburg 2020010821.pdf ). The enterprise
respondents found it generally difficult
- to separate ICT expenditure
from other expenditure due to the lack of
consensus on the definition of what belongs
to ICT. For instance, some enterprises
considered telephony costs as ICT expenditure
while others did not.
- to determine who or which
part of the enterprise (for instance, IT managers
or the accounting department) should respond
to the survey and be in a position to provide
the best information.
- to separate IT-related
education expenditure from accounting systems.
- to separate out the cost
of embedded software in machinery
41. Moreover, the Swedish legislation had depreciation
options for PCs. While some enterprises
considered them as direct costs, others treated
them as investments, depreciating them over
three years. Because of the multitude
of problems reported above, the Nordic countries'
harmonized survey concentrates on the use of
ICT, excluding questions on IT expenditures.
42. The difficulties in quantifying ICT expenditures
are reflected in national accounts. The
lack of expenditure data and data on own software
development makes the estimation of gross fixed
capital formation (GFCF) in computer software
challenging. The above-mentioned paper discusses
the Swedish methods in estimating GFCF in software
purchased and in software developed on own account.
B.
Quality improvements and prices of ICT products
and services
43. The life cycle of PCs and many other ICT
products is very short. New computer models
offer faster performance for the same, or reduced
prices, and the maintenance of old models is
not supported. The change in quality poses
a difficult problem in creating price indices
from sample prices. Any price difference
between the new item and the old one reflects
the value of the quality change in addition
to the pure price change. Implicit and
explicit methods exist for the quality adjustment,
or separating out the value of the quality change
from the prices. The former include simple
judgment and production cost estimates, and
the latter various linking methods.
44. A technically more challenging and more
costly method, hedonic adjustment is seen as
a solution by many economists. This method
requires a large amount of data on prices and
characteristics of computers and a substantial
amount of econometric modelling in the estimation
of hedonic functions. Recent studies are
nevertheless pointing out that the observed
large international variations in price indices
of computers among OECD countries, which use
various methods of quality adjustment, are implausible
and that the extrapolation of the hedonic price
indexes of the United States would be better
than accepting the measures that are now published
for many OECD countries.
45. The impact of ICT prices on economic indicators
and growth estimates is significant in increasingly
ICT-dependent economies. To explore cost-effective
solutions to the substantial problems that arise
in computing quality-adjusted price indexes
for IT products, an international collaboration
project has been launched between the OECD,
the European Hedonic Center at Eurostat, Statistics
Canada and the Australian Bureau of Statistics.
46. The above information is from Triplett
2001 ("IT, hedonic price indexes, and productivity",
http://www.stat.go.jp/english/iaos/paper/triplett.pdf),
which can be referred to for more details about
hedonic adjustment.
VII.
Country comparisons and technology assessments
A.
Technology achievement index of UNDP
47. The Human Development Report 2001 published
by the United Nations Development Programme
introduced the technology achievement index
(TAI), which aims to capture how well a country
is creating and diffusing technology and building
a human skill base. Countries are classified
as Leaders, Potential Leaders, Dynamic Adopters
and Marginalized according to the level of the
TAI. The TAI comprises four dimensions
of technological capacity, each measured by
two different indicators.
- To capture the level
of innovation in a society, the index uses
(i) the number of patents granted per
capita (to reflect the current level of invention
activities) and (ii) the receipts of royalty
and license fees from abroad per capita (to
reflect the stock of successful innovations).
- Diffusion of recent
innovations is measured by (iii) the number
of Internet hosts and (iv) exports of high-
and medium-technology products as a share
of all exports.
- The third dimension,
diffusion of old innovations, is gauged by
(v) the number of telephone connections and
(vi) the consumption of electricity per capita.
- For human skills needed
to create and absorb innovations, the indicators
are (vii) the mean years of schooling and
(viii) the gross enrolment ratio of tertiary
students enrolled in science, mathematics
and engineering.
48. It is relatively easy to simulate index
calculations following the Report's example
on composing the index. Each indicator
and each dimension have proportionate weights.
The energy consumption and telephone indicators
are expressed as logarithms and capped at the
average OECD level, which effectively ensures
that as the level increases they contribute
less to the index.
49. The Report acknowledges that many aspects
of technology creation, diffusion and human
skills are hard to quantify. And even
if they could be quantified, a lack of reliable
data makes it impossible to fully reflect them.
In other words, the selection of indicators
is much affected by the availability of measurable
data.
50. One main issue that arises from the report
is the lack of comparable data for the Asia-Pacific
region. Even after allowing substitution
of missing data values for the first dimension
indicators (patents and received royalties)
with zeroes (indicating that little formal innovation
is occurring), it is possible to calculate the
TAI for only 16 of the 57 regional member and
associate member economies of ESCAP (see table).
For the rest, some critical data values were
missing or were not available at all.
Table 5. TAI ranking
and the number of its missing component values
for ESCAP members and associate members
| Country/Area
(Number of indicator values missing out
of 8) |
TAI rank (among 72 countries/areas)
|
| Leaders |
|
| Japan |
4 |
| Republic of Korea |
5 |
| Australia |
9 |
| Singapore |
10 |
| New Zealand |
15 |
| Potential leaders |
|
| Hong Kong, China (1) |
24 |
| Malaysia (1) |
30 |
| Dynamic adopters |
|
| Thailand |
40 |
| Philippines |
44 |
| China |
45 |
| Islamic Republic of
Iran |
50 |
| Indonesia (2) |
60 |
| Sri Lanka (2) |
62 |
| India |
63 |
| Marginalized |
|
| Pakistan (1) |
65 |
| Nepal (1) |
69 |
| Source: UNDP Human Development
Report 2001 |
|
Inadequate
data to calculate TAI (no ranking)
Bangladesh (1), Russian Federation
(1), Turkey (1), Armenia (2), Kazakhstan
(2), Kyrgyzstan (2), Mongolia (2), Myanmar
(2), Azerbaijan (3), Georgia (3), Tajikistan
(3), Brunei Darussalam (4), Turkmenistan
(4), Uzbekistan (4), Cambodia (5), Fiji
(5), Maldives (5), Papua New Guinea
(5), Viet Nam (5), Bhutan (6), Lao People's
Democratic Republic (6), Samoa (7) |
No data
presented in HDR2001
Afghanistan; American Samoa; Cook Islands;
Democratic People's Republic of Korea;
French Polynesia; Guam; Kiribati; Macao,
China; Marshall Islands; Micronesia;
Nauru; New Caledonia; Niue; Northern
Mariana Islands; Palau; Solomon Islands;
Tonga; Tuvalu; and Vanuatu |
51. The Report makes several qualitative statements
about the index, which could be discussed by
the Working Group:
- It is intended to help
policy-makers define technology strategies.
- Its design reflects two
particular concerns. It focuses on indicators
that reflect policy concerns for all countries,
regardless of the level of technological development.
To be useful for developing countries, the
index must be able to discriminate between
countries at the lower end of the range.
- The composite index helps
a country situate itself relative to others,
especially those farther ahead.
- The report further argues
that an overall assessment of a country's
technological achievement is more easily made
based on a single composite measure than on
dozens of different measures.
- Like other composite
indices in the HDRs, the TAI offers a starting
point to make an overall assessment, to be
followed by an examination of different indicators
in greater detail.
- It is further argued
that TAI rankings do not shadow income rankings
and show considerable dynamism in several
countries with rising technological achievement
- for example, the Republic of Korea ranks
above the United Kingdom, Canada and other
established industrial economies whereas large
developing countries -Brazil, China, India
-do less well than one might expect because
this is not a ranking of "technological might
" of a country.
- The TAI is not a measure
of which country is leading in global technology
development, but focuses on how well the country
as a whole is participating in creating and
using technology.
B.
Other assessments
52. As official statistical systems are unable
to respond fully to the demand for statistics
on rapidly changing society, the private sector
has undertaken numerous surveys and 'e?readiness'
assessments at national and international levels.
Organizations engaged in comparative assessments
between countries include UNDP (as mentioned
above), ITU, the World Bank, the World Economic
Forum, and several national donor agencies.
The e-readiness assessments have been conducted
using a variety of tools. The Bridges.org
organization has assessed some of the work done
and compared the methods used in selected assessments
(see details in http://www.bridges.org/ereadiness/Readiness
v8.13f.rtf).
53. The Bridges.org also surveyed which countries
had been assessed and by whom (see "E-readiness
Assessment: Who is Doing What and Where",
http://www.bridges.org/ereadiness/where.html).
Although many of the assessment results were
not publicly available or easily accessible,
it found out that many countries had already
been assessed more than once. While there
appeared to be significant duplication of effort
regarding some countries, others lacked useful
data. Of the total of 84 countries that
had been assessed by at least one tool, sixteen
had been assessed at least five times by different
organizations. On the other hand, many
of the poorest countries that had most to gain
from the information technology revolution had
not been assessed at all. It is highly
likely that the lack of data is a key reason
for their being ignored.
54. As new data sources emerge and estimation
methods improve, the variance in estimates and
assessment results is likely to decrease.
For instance, the official estimates of the
value of e-commerce in some countries, which
have appeared recently, have been warmly welcomed
by data users who were earlier puzzled by the
huge variance of estimates made by various private
sector organizations.
C.
Sample indicator sets
55. It is not feasible to review global or
regional indicator development in this document.
Two recent examples are provided instead, eEurope
benchmarking by the European Union in Annex
1 and IT indicators in Japan 2001 in Annex
2. The eEurope indicators were selected
to measure comparative progress in implementing
the eEurope action plan, an ambitious initiative
launched in 1999 to make all parts of the society
benefit from information technology. The
Japanese indicators describe the recent diffusion
of information technology in society and give
a better overview of the current status of IT
in Japan than similar publications in the past.
VIII.
Measurement issues for developing countries
- points for discussion
56. The twelfth session of the Committee on
Statistics noted that low computer ownership
and poor access to the Internet in developing
countries explained the relatively low attention
paid to IT indicators. The Committee recommended,
however, that all statistical offices should
prepare for the eventuality that policy makers
and other influential data users could at any
time request data on the stage of digitization
in the country.
57. The Working Group is
requested to discuss how statistical offices,
particularly in developing countries, could
step up their responses to the high interest
in statistics on the information society.
The following questions might provide starting
points:
- Is the described direction
of conceptual, methodological and classifications
development desirable? Is there a need
for developing countries to participate in
those processes? If there is, how can
they participate effectively?
- The development of statistics
on the information society is no doubt a gradual
process, but would the adoption of the models
of OECD countries, for instance, accelerate
their development? Could the utilization
of existing survey vehicles be higher and
the frequency of dedicated ICT surveys correspondingly
lower?
- Are there particular early
indicators that would be useful in monitoring
the progress of economies that are only starting
mainstream adoption of ICT?
- Should the need for measurement
of cross-border flows affect the development
of related national legislation (e-commerce,
taxation, etc)?
- How critical is the national
measurement of changes in the quality and
functionality of ICT products in the region?
- Does the adoption of ICTs
create difficulties for the measurement of
working hours in the region?
- Are there deficiencies
in registration of new firms in the ICT sector
in the region? How should any deficiency
be assessed?
- Certain countries in the
region are major global contributors of software
engineers. Are there any statistical
issues to be resolved?
- What are the quality adjustment
options for the price indices of ICT products
in developing countries?
- Are international technology
assessments and similar inter-country comparisons
desirable and sufficiently methodologically
sound?
- As basic data collection
tools and systems are becoming established,
the attention of statisticians in OECD countries
appears to be turning to the statistical capture
of the impact of ICT. How important
is early measurement of this impact in developing
countries?
Annex
1. Europe benchmarking indicators
Document http://europa.eu.int/information_society/eeurope/benchmarking/
indicator_list.pdf contains metadata about
the indicators; it also includes a number of
supplementary indicators that could be used
in the benchmarking.
- Percentage of population
who regularly use the Internet
- Percentage of households
with internet access at home
- Internet access costs
- Speed of interconnections
and services available between and within
national
- Number of secure servers
per million inhabitants
- Percentage of Internet-using
public that have experienced security problems
- Number of computers
per 100 pupils in primary/secondary/ tertiary
levels
- Number of computers
connected to the Internet per 100 pupils in
primary/secondary/tertiary levels
- Number of computers
with high speed connections to the Internet
per 100 pupils in primary/secondary/ tertiary
levels
- Percentage of teachers
using the Internet for non-computing teaching
on a regular basis
- Percentage of workforce
with (at least) basic IT training
- Number of places and
graduates in ICT related third level education
- Percentage of workforce
using telework>
- Number of Public Internet
Points (PIAP) per 1000 inhabitants
- Percentage of central
government websites that conform to the WAI
accessibility guidelines at A level
- Percentage of companies
that buy and sell over the Internet
- Percentage of basic
public services available on-line
- Public use of government
on-line services - for information/ for submission
of forms
- Percentage of public
procurement which can be carried out on-line
- Percentage of health
professionals with Internet access
- Use of different categories
of web content by health professionals
- Percentage of EU web
sites in the national top 50 visited
- Percentage of the motorway
network (vs. total length of network) equipped
with congestion information and management
systems
Annex
2. IT indicators in Japan 2001
Household Sector
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