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Working Group of Statistical Experts, 10th session
Bangkok, 11-14 November 1997

STAT/WGSE.10/7
ENGLISH ONLY

ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL COMMISSION FOR ASIA AND THE PACIFIC
Working Group of Statistical Experts
Tenth session
11-14 November 1997
Bangkok

Population and housing censuses
(Item 7 of the provisional agenda)
The 2000 decade of population and housing censuses: recent developments

Note by the secretariat


This paper has been issued without formal editing.

Introduction

1. The population and housing censuses of the 2000 round (1996-2005) are being planned and conducted in the middle of an "information explosion". With the increase in demand and use of data by the government at all levels, the private sector, research and academic institutions, non-governmental organizations, community groups, and international organizations, it is imperative that contemporary data needs are well understood and met in an effective and efficient manner. In this regard, the intelligent utilization of available technological and methodological options is of crucial importance. Among other things, the exploitation of these options has been playing an important role in improving the census products and services offered by the national statistical offices (NSOs). This document presents selected issues concerning the 2000 decade of population and housing censuses. The Working Group is invited to provide its comments and recommendations.

Recent Developments

2. Population and housing censuses continue to play an important role in the civic society and contribute to such vital institutions and processes as democracy, policy formulation and social and economic development planning. The diaggregated data available from them have many uses for the central and local governments and communities, such as for revenue sharing, town planning, health and education planning, transport planning, as well as for the private sector. However, a population census is an expensive undertaking, the cost of which has been escalating. In the scenario where the census cost is rising but without any apparent improvements in the timely availability of data, the status of census as a prime source of statistics is likely to be questioned, and rightly so. There are a number of other criticisms which are beginning to create difficulties for population censuses, such as response burden on the public and the increased work load of the government. Difficulties are also being faced by some countries in recruiting suitable field staff and due to transportation and communication problems. It is therefore necessary to adopt alternative and innovative approaches in various phases of census operations.

3. Rapid changes in information technology have already revolutionized census data processing, with increasing dependance on microcomputers and associated peripherals, and transformed the modes of data dissemination. These developments have also raised the expectations of data users and altered the way modern censuses are planned and executed. The rise in the number of data users coming from a variety of backgrounds and having different data and analytical needs has important implications for the current censuses. For example, in addition to the usual tabulations and reports, more reliance will have to be placed on dissemination of data through the electronic media, while many new census products will gain prominence, including thematic maps, meta data, evaluation reports, and analyses.

Technical Cooperation

4. During the past five decades, international organizations have played an important role by furthering technical cooperation in the area of population and housing censuses, providing technical assistance and guidance to countries on various aspects of census taking, making available software packages and technical material, and promoting standards and international comparability of data. The work undertaken under the guidance of the United Nations Statistical Commission has evolved a set of Principles and Recommendations for Population and Housing Censuses, the latest edition of which will soon be released by the Statistics Division of the United Nations. This latest revision of the Principles and Recommendations was reviewed by an expert group meeting in September 1996 and subsequently submitted to the Statistical Commission. At its twenty-ninth session in February 1997, the Statistical Commission adopted the latest Principles and Recommendations, for use in the 2000 round of population and housing censuses and in future census decades. The endorsed Principles and Recommendations for Population and Housing Censuses (PROV/ST/ESA/STAT/SER.M/67/Rev.1), incorporating the changes suggested by the Statistical Commission, will be published by the Secretariat in all the official languages of the United Nations.

5. In the past, it was customary for the regional commissions to hold regional meetings, adopt regional principles and recommendations, and provide inputs to the global recommendations. However, for the 2000 round only two regional commissions, Europe and Africa, were able to organize their own working group meetings. Owing to resource constraints, inputs from the ESCAP region were provided only through participation in the 1996 expert group meeting and comments on the draft of the Principles and Recommendations. The UN Statistical Commission's twenty-ninth session also provided an opportunity for those participating from the Asia and the Pacific region to provide further inputs and comments.

6. The revised Principles and Recommendations takes into account four themes as follows:

  1. changes in computer technology;
  2. increased capability of national censuses offices to disseminate census data in a more flexible manner together with the increased ability of users to utilize data stored in electronic formats;
  3. changes in socio-economic situations in many countries;
  4. increased emphasis on responding to the needs of data users.

The most important changes reflected in the recommendations concern the application of new technologies to the census, quality control and evaluation of census results. In addition a new topic has been added for population censuses concerning disability statistics. Topics that have been revised include economic characteristics to conform with the newly revised SNA, fertility, mortality, education and international migration. A new section on census products and data utilization has also been added.

Technical cooperation in the region

7. Advisory services remain as an important mode of technical assistance. The three advisers of ESCAP in population statistics attached to the United Nations Population Fund (UNFPA) Country Support Teams (UNFPA/CSTs) located in Bangkok, Fiji and Kathmandu have continued to assist developing countries in planning, executing and processing population and housing censuses. Recently, the adviser attached to the Kathmandu team was relocated to Almaty in view of the needs of the Central Asian Republics [Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan. ], each of which will be conducting its first census after independence. In March 1997, UNFPA and the UN Statistics Division organized a symposium on Strengthening Population Information Systems in the six central Asian Republics. The meeting, in which ESCAP also participated, focussed on policy and technical issues, including issues of technical and financial assistance, and subregional coordination and cooperation. The technical issues discussed included data availability and utilization, quality and timeliness, balancing perspectives of users and producers of population information, legal framework, confidentiality and current options available for processing and disseminating census data. A population census project planning workshop was also organized in conjunction with the symposium.

8. The above symposium was followed up by a donors meeting in Geneva in September 1997. A similar exercise has been planned for the Pacific subregion, under which a technical meeting on population censuses is scheduled to be held in December 1997 in Nandi, Fiji.

9. One issue which has emerged from recent discussions in the regional and international forums concerns funding of future censuses. Recently indicated policies, work plans and priorities of the traditional donors of population census activities in developing countries suggest that in general external financial support to individual censuses in the Asia-Pacific region would be at a lower level than was possible in the previous decades. This and other developments make it increasingly important that census planning is initiated well in advance so that resource requirements and allocations are realistically worked out. Technical cooperation among countries, sharing of technical information, transfer of technical knowledge, and adoption and adaptation of best practices also assume greater importance.

10. The ESCAP secretariat recently initiated a project on the application of new technology to population data, under which the first inception meeting was held from 24 to 26 September 1997. This multi-year project concerns effective utilization of information technology with the ultimate aim of improving the quality, timely availability and usefulness of the statistical outputs and services of national statistical offices. The Working Party meeting recommendations are given in the annex.

Annex

Recommendations of the first meeting of the Working Party on the Application of New Technology to Population Data, Bangkok, 24-26 September 1997

1. The Working Party agreed on the following as its terms of reference:

"The Working Party on the Application of New Technology to Population Data shall perform the following functions:

  • Play a pivotal role in consolidating the experiences of the countries in the application of new technology to population data and in sharing them within the region.
  • Identify priorities and provide guidance to the activities of the project on the application of new technology in population data collection, analysis, presentation and dissemination.
  • Advise the secretariat on the strategy, approach and modalities to be adopted in undertaking project activities, producing its outputs, and meeting the immediate objectives.
  • Review and monitor progress of the project activities and submit its observations, suggestions and recommendations to the secretariat and the Committee on Statistics.
  • Formulate procedures and make arrangements for the active participation of its members and their parent organizations in the activities of the project and its outputs, including the preparation of guidelines and provision of technical advice to the pilot countries.
  • Play the focal role, and guide the secretariat as necessary, in securing close cooperation and inputs to the project activities from various national and international organizations.
  • Determine the timing and provisional agenda for its own future meetings."

2. It also agreed with the mode of functioning of the Working Party suggested in document STAT/WPA/2.

3. Noting that the external financial assistance for developing countries for the 2000 round of population censuses was likely to be at a reduced level compared to the past, the Working Party recommended that cooperation between countries in planning and conducting census and related activities should be enhanced.

4. Recognizing that the parent organizations of some of its members were engaged in a wide range of evaluations of technology options for various aspects of population data processing, the Working Party recommended that the results of such evaluations should be shared.

5. The Working Party recommended that a careful assessment should be made of all available options in meeting equipment requirements for census operations, including rental of equipment and outsourcing of some of the tasks.

6. The Working Party decided that the major focus of the project will be on emerging information technology.

7. The Working Party approved the work plan outlined in document STAT/WPA/5, with specific recommendations indicated below.

8. The Working Party identified 3 core areas as the major focus of the project, as follows:

  • GIS in census and survey applications
  • Imaging and data capture technology
  • Application of Internet based technology.

9. As the Internet could be used at various stages of population data collection and dissemination, the Working Party decided to focus its second session on the topic and related issues. In that meeting the Working Party will also review the progress on various activities of the project and consider a training proposal to be prepared by SIAP.

10. In light of its major focus the Working Party decided that the topics and the sites of the 3 pilot applications to be undertaken should be as follows:

  • Imaging technology - Indonesia
  • Use of GIS for census operations and dissemination - Philippines
  • Use of Global positioning System (GPS) for preparation of census enumeration area maps - Bangladesh

11. The Working Party authorized the secretariat to work together with the pilot countries to finalize the project designs in a standard format.

12. In view of New Zealand's expertise in several relevant technological areas, the Working Party recommended that it should be invited to nominate an expert to serve as a member of the Working Party.

13. The Working Party recommended that a sub-group ("Working Group") should be formed to review the imaging technologies and facilitate their selection and deployment. It should include Australia, Japan, New Zealand and Singapore. Indonesia will be the convenor of this group. In addition UNSD should be invited to participate.

14. The Working Party recommended that the secretariat should conduct a survey to assess the use of information technology in population data collection, processing and dissemination. The results of the survey will be submitted to the ESCAP Committee on Statistics in 1998 after a review by the Working Party. The survey should utilize experience from similar exercises recently conducted by UNSD, UNFPA/CST; in particular the GIS module from the previous UNSD survey should be incorporated. The secretariat will circulate a draft questionnaire to members of the Working Party for further comments.

15. The Working Party recommended that 5 issues of the project Newsletter be produced with the following focus:

  • Introduction to the project - proceedings of the first meeting of the Working Party
  • Internet
  • GIS (including GPS and satellite imagery)
  • Imaging, data capture and hand-held devices
  • Summary and evaluation of the project

16. Members of the Working Party agreed to contribute material to the Newsletter, while layout and editorial aspects would be handled by the secretariat. It was agreed that one issue of the newsletter will include the results of the survey to be conducted by the secretariat. The newsletter will also feature a summary of each meeting of the Working Party.

17. The Working Party recommended that the following three sets of "guidelines" be produced under the project as follows:

Topic Coordinator
a) Dissemination Secretariat
b) Mapping Bangladesh/Philippines
c) Data entry, capture, processing and archiving Indonesia

18. The Working Party recommended that each set of "guidelines" should draw from technology practices in the countries and provide options for their implementation.

19. The Working Party recommended the following provisional timetable for its future meetings:

  • 2nd meeting - as early as possible but not later than early April 1998
  • 3rd meeting - September 1998
  • 4th meeting - first half of 1999

20. The Working Party noted that further meetings might be possible if savings anticipated in the project materialize.



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