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Asia-Pacific
Publications Catalogue
2011
 
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Trade-led growth: A sound strategy for Asia


Author(s): Trade and Investment Division (TID)
Economic Sector(s): (1) Global trade policies; (2) Trade in commodities and manufactures; (3) Trade in services, including tourism; (4) Trade expansion, trade promotion and export development
ESCAP Reference No.: ST/ESCAP/2618
Division/Office: Trade and Investment
Published Date: December 2011
Country: {Non-country Specific Publication}
Hard Copy Price: US$ 88.00


The 2008/9 global economic crisis triggered changes in real economies and trade in all countries, including those in Asia, which adopted the so-called export-led growth model. With these drastic changes in trade flows, and the need to counteract potential adverse effects, the old debate on the advantages and flaws of the export-led model has re-opened, adding new concerns to the debate such as aspects of sustainability and inclusivity. The Asia-Pacific Research and Training Network on Trade organized a conference in November 2009 on the topic and brought together policymakers, researchers and analysts from the region and outside it. The selection of the papers discussed at the conference is presented in this volume. It aims to provide some theoretical and empirical reasons towards an argument that for developing Asian economies, export-led growth is still a valid model of stable, equitable and sustainable growth. The volume is an attempt to provide a balanced assessment of the role of trade in growth and development. It also combines local (regional) research with that of established experts/institutions. While there is extensive literature focusing on the role of openness and trade in a country’s development, much of it dates to before the most recent (2008-2009) global crisis. Furthermore, during the crisis and most recently, the volumes that were published mostly argued against an export-led growth strategy, while this volume argues in defense of trade-led growth for the Asian region.




Preface and acknowledgements
List of contributors
Abbreviations and acronyms
ix
xi
xiii




I.  


II.  





III.  



IV.  







V.  



VI. 



VII. 


VIII. 





IX. 


X. 





XI. 



XII. 



XIII. 



XIV. 

Part One: Trade in times of global imbalances and crises

A trade theory explanation of global imbalances
Alan V. Deardorff

World trade regime, World Trade Organization and large-scale
crises

Patrick A. Messerlin

Part Two: Trade-led recovery and production networks

Resiliency of production networks in Asia: Evidence from the
Asian crisis

Ayako Obashi

Role of global production networks in understanding the
impactsof the macroeconomic stimulus

Tereso S. Tullao, Mitzie Irene P. Conchada and John Paolo
R. Rivera


Part Three: Multilateralizing regionalism in the Asia-Pacific
region: Strengths, weaknesses and the political economy

Trans-Pacific strategic economic partnership agreement:
High standard or missed opportunity?

Henry Gao

A comparison of the ASEAN-Australia-New Zealand Free
Trade Agreement and the P4 Agreement

Ann Capling

Political economy of multilateralization in Asia
John Ravenhill

From the P4 Agreement to the Trans-Pacific Partnership:
Explaining expansion interests in the Asia-Pacific region

Deborah Elms

Part Four: Institutions and trade enhancement

Do institutions matter for trade in Asian countries?
Prabir De

National and supranational institutions and trade
Pahan Prasada

Part Five: Use of computable general equilibrium analysis
for trade policymaking

Scope for world trade reform to ease Asian poverty and
inequality

Kym Anderson

Trade reforms under Doha and income distribution in South
Asia

John Gilbert

Will trade liberalization in least developed countries help during
the crisis? Evidence from the Lao People’s Democratic Republic

Phouphet Kyophilavong

Trade and sectoral impacts of the global financial crisis – a
dynamic computable general equilibrium analysis

Anna Strutt and Terrie Walmsley

Part Six: Conference reports

Report by Conference Rapporteur, Simon J. Evenett
Report by ARTNeT Secretariat




3


7






29


53







79



97


113



139




165


189






217



241



259



281




311
316



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