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Economic and Social Survey of Asia and the Pacific 2007


Author(s): Macroeconomic Policy and Development Division (MPDD)
Economic Sector(s): (1) Global, regional and multisectoral economic and social development strategies and policies; (2) Economic statistics
ESCAP Reference No.: ST/ESCAP/2429
Division/Office: Macroeconomic Policy and Development
Published Date: April 2007
Country: {Non-country Specific Publication}
Hard Copy Price: N/A


>>>>  Link to Survey 2007 website  <<<<<

Entitled "Surging Ahead in Uncertain Times", the 2007 edition discusses the region’s impressive growth in 2006 amidst rising risks, evaluates subregional performances led by East and North-East Asia, projects an outlook for 2007 of continuing dynamism, identifies key economic issues to be watched, and considers the economic cost of gender inequality.




Foreword

Acknowledgements

Executive Summary

Chapter 1.  Regional economic developments and prospects

Fastest growth in the world - 7.9% in 2006

Successfully fighting inflation
Living with high oil prices
Pressure on currencies to appreciate
Record level of foreign reserves
Strong exports - but high oil prices take a toll on current accounts
Getting the best out of bilateral and regional trade agreements

Outlook for 2007 - continuing dynamism amid rising risks

Inflation - less of a problem
Managing exchange rates - the biggest challeng in 2007
Current account surpluses - to deteriorate slightly
Downside risks not to be ignored

Key economic issues on the watch list

Monitoring vulnerability to currency crises
Boosting domestic demand through private investment, especially in East Asia
Reaping the one-off demographic dividend
Managing urban growth
Promoting green growth to sustain development

Appendix 1: Composite index of vulnerability to currency crisis - concept and measurement

References

Chapter 2. Subregional performance, challenges and policies

Widespread growth across Asia and the Pacific

East and North-East Asia - external demand boosts growth

Excess liquity keeps the heat on
Current accounts remain in surplus
Weaker global demand poses a risk for medium-term prospects
Policy research feature 2.1: China's wake-up call to exporters in the Asia-Pacific region

North and Central Asia - oil and gas fuel spectacular growth

High and rising inflation widespread
Current account surpluses for oil exporters - workers' remittances boost external revenues for others
Foreign direct investment flows in
Foreign debt burden eases
Medium-term prospects are strong

Pacific island countries - robust growth, continuing challenges

External sector set to gain from the partnership with the European Union
Impact of higher oil prices
Policy research feature 2.2: The challenge of urbanization

South and South-West Asia - growth momentum sustained

Least developed countries forge ahead
High oil prices sustained inflationary pressures
Budget deficit - a serious problem in several countries
Current account deficits widen due to high oil prices
Outlook for 2007 - growth expected to remain strong
Policy research feature 2.3: Electricity and roads to reduce rural poverty

South-East Asia - growth accelerates on the back of strong exports

Higher oil prices - a catalyst for rethinking monetary policy
External sector helped by strong global economy
Medium-term prospects - dependence on global demand raises concerns
Policy research feature 2.4: Developing East Asian corporate bond markets 10 years after the crisis

Developed countries - modest growth but Japan's revival bodes well for the Asia-Pacific region

Policy research feature 2.5: Are inequality and poverty rising in Japan?

References

Chapter 3. Gender inequality continues - at great cost

Economic and social costs of gender discrimination

Cost of restrictions on labour force participation - $42-$47 billion a year
Cost of gender gaps in education - $16-$30 billion a year
Cost of restrictions on access to health services
Social costs of gender discrimination

Progress towards narrowing the gender gap

Economic participation - women's autonomy is the key to success
Educational attainment - a large gap, greater effort required
Health and survival - the gender gap exacerbated
Voice and empowerment - a wider gap

Eliminating gender discrimination - policy recommendations

Improve access to education
Improve access to health care
Enhance economic participation of women
Enhance access to material resources
Take steps to empower women by facilitating social moblization
Hear the voice of women

References

Statistical annex




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