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Date:
1999
Source:
Fiji Islands Population Profile
Based on 1996 Census: A Guide for Planners and Policy Makers. Noumea.
Secretariat of the Pacific Community, 1999. ISBN –982-203-715-5
Subject:
population statistics,
demography, population policy

Summary:
`This profile provides an
overview of Fiji’s population at its latest census held on 25th
August 1996. The emphasis of the profile is on identifying key implications of
the observed demographic levels and trends, for planners and policy makers.’ (p.xii)
Provided here is the
Introduction and excerpts from chapters on the Implications for Planning.
These are listed under the relevant headings.
1. INTRODUCTION
‘Recognising the longer term
realities and implications of current actions, the development challenge is to
meet the needs of present generations and improve their quality of life without
compromising the ability of future generations to meet their own needs’.
(United Nations, 1994).
Population changes affect
everyone in one way or another. Population change affects every facet of life
whether we are talking about the number of people living in a village or the
price of food. The prevalence of poverty as well as social and gender inequities
have influences on, and are in turn influenced by population growth, structure
and distribution. Unsustainable consumption and production patterns contribute
to the unsustainable use of natural resources and environmental degradation as
well as reinforcing social inequities and poverty.
Different people have different
needs and these are closely related to population change, the state of the
environment and the pace and quality of economic and social development. For
governments to effectively provide for the specific needs of their population,
and different sub-groups, it is important that planners and policy-makers have a
clear picture of the demographic composition of the population.
Effective development planning
depends upon reliable knowledge of the composition, growth and movement of
population. In other words: planners need reliable information on their country’s
population structure and population processes.
Population structure refers to
population size, geographic distribution, age-sex structure and socio-economic
characteristics (economic activity and educational and other social attributes
of the population).
Population processes refer to
population growth, fertility, mortality and migration (including urbanisation).
Apart from playing an important
role in shaping a country’s economic and social development, population
structures and processes can also be the direct result of development. This is
quite evident in situations where policies are incorporated into development
plans with the aim of altering specific population variables:
- greater budget allocation to a country’s
ministry of department of health to expand its maternal and child health and
family planning services can lead to fewer deaths of infants, children and
women;
- promotion, provision and easy access to
family planning services may lead, through a reduced fertility rate, to a
lowering of the population’s growth rate;
- the establishment of rural industries to
create rural employment may slow down rural-urban drift.
As population factors are
important components of development, and as development is ultimately about
people (specifically, about improving people’s lives), it will be clear to
everyone involved in planning and policy-making that incorporating population
considerations into the planning process is at the very heart of planning and
development.
The aim of this profile is twofold:
1. to familiarise planners and policy-makers
with some of the key features of the demography of Fiji; and
2. to discuss some of the key implications
for development planning and policy.
More detailed analyses can be undertaken on any
other specific sectoral issue or subject, subject to the availability of data.
This analysis mainly draws on the following
source materials:
- 1996 Fiji Census of Population and Housing:
General Tables, 1998
- 1996 Fiji Census of Population and Housing:
Analytical Report, 1999 (forthcoming) and
- other unpublished information derived from
the census.
2. POPULATION
STRUCTURE
2.1
1996 Population Census
of Fiji Islands
2.2. Size and distribution
Implications for Planning
-
The geographical
distribution of the population and its pattern of settlement have a direct
bearing on delivery of services
-
A high concentration of
people usually means much better services, as population numbers justify the
placement of medical, educational and financial institutions, communication
and entertainment facilities. The concentration of people in the urban areas
of the Central, Western and Northern Divisions demands and attracts the
attention of planners and decision-makers. The provision of better services
and facilities of various kinds in the urban centres is seen by many people
as a major advantage of living there, and by the same token, lack of these
facilities is a disadvantage in rural areas and outer islands and may be the
main reason for relocation to the population centres.
-
The lower concentration of
people in the Eastern Division is of concern as it makes the establishment
of services of any kind expensive and cost-ineffective. Only basic health
services are delivered, which are not the same quality as those in the main
urban centres. Provisions need to be in place to allow transport to the main
hospitals for all emergencies.
-
High concentrations of
people may also mean more stress on the environment, and consequently there
is a need to prioritise environmental health services such as water
connection, sewage systems and garbage disposal.
-
Food security becomes an
important issue in view of the variation in population density across the
country. The agricultural sector should take into account the varying number
of consumers by division, both current and future, so that enough food can
be produced to feed the projected numbers of consumers.
-
Non-availability of land
can be one of the main causes of people migrating to other areas in the
country or to overseas destinations in search of better opportunities. (p.8)
2.3 Age and sex structure
Implications for planning
- The number of young children and infants
affects the need for immunisation and child health programs;
- The size of the primary school-age
population (usually 6 to 12 year olds) determines the demand for primary
education (schools, classrooms, teachers, materials, etc.);
- Manpower planning depends on the size of
the working-age population;
- Budgeting pension entitlements depend on
the number of eligible elderly people
-
Fiji’s young age
structure, especially among the Fijian component, means that a large
proportion of its resources need to be invested in children, for example,
their education and training, and health services. These investments
obviously also need to be accompanied by economic development activities,
preferably of they type not merely geared towards economic growth per se,
but primarily towards employment creation.
-
Population projections
(Appendix Table 33) show that the elderly will increase both in number and
as a percentage of the total population in the future. Women make up a
higher percentage of the elderly. All medium and long-term socio-economic
planning should take this into account. Social security systems that ensure
greater inter-generational and intra-generational equity and solidarity
should be developed. These systems should encourage families to take care of
their elderly in their homes. (p.13)
3. SOCIAL
PROFILE OF THE POPULATION
3.1 Ethnicity
3.2 Religion
Implications for Planning
- The preponderance of many religious group
points to the need to protect and promote awareness of human rights so that
people can live together peacefully.
- The Government should respect the autonomy
of religious groups and should integrate them in their decision-making and
facilitate the contribution that non-governmental organisations such as
church organisations can make at all levels to finding solutions to
population and development concerns. (p.16)
3.3 Marital status
Implications for Planning
- The high rate of widowhood among women calls
for special attention to their needs - economic, social, health and other
needs.
- Early marriages, especially among girls,
points to a need for government to ensure those girls complete at least high
school education. (p.18)
3.4 Educational
characteristics
Implications for Planning
- Changes in a country’s population
structure affect educational needs. The higher a country’s level of
fertility, at given levels of mortality, the larger is its school-age
population relative to the rest of the population.
- In view of Fiji’s stagnating birth rates,
the school-age population will inevitably increase in the future and, unless
birth rates decline, this trend will be maintained or even increase in the
long term. This means more public funding will be required for educational
purposes, both recurrent and capital expenditures, to meet increased demand
in the future. Depending on future of fertility and migration, there will be
between 11,168 and 35,053 more pupils on 2011 than in 1996 (Appendix Table
33).
- School leavers are more qualified than their
predecessors, hence the implications for Fiji’s economy are:
- The profile of the labour force will
change in favour of more qualified applicants who will be chasing fewer
employment opportunities. A more educated workforce increases a country’s
comparative advantages, and greatly facilitates direct foreign investments
- In anticipation of the growing numbers of
unemployed youths, vocational training could be stepped up to teach school
leavers skills that they could use at home to generate income (carpentry,
tailoring, animal husbandry, etc.), if they cannot find jobs in the formal
sector.
- The education and training of young people
should go hand-in-hand with economic and social development policies. This
should take care of discrepancies between the educational system and the
production system which can lead to unemployment and underemployment, a
devaluing of qualifications and, in some cases, the exodus of qualified
people from rural to urban areas and to ‘brain drain’.
- Gender balance in educational attainment at
all levels should be promoted. The gender discrepancy is widest at
post-secondary level, in favour of males. Training teachers to be more
gender-sensitive, providing scholarships and other appropriate incentives,
and sensitising parents to the value of educating girls would help to keep
girls and adolescents in school. Pregnant adolescents should be permitted
and helped to continue their education.
- Post-secondary education among Fijians is
lagging behind other ethnic groups. To promote equity among all groups,
Government should promote higher education among Fijians in order to bring
them to the level of those groups.
- In view of the lower enrolment rates at
secondary levels among the rural population, Government needs to strengthen
efforts to improve the education levels in rural areas. (p.20)
4. HOUSEHOLD
CHARACTERISTICS
4.1 Household size
4.2 Household type
4.3 Household tenure
4.4 Land Tenure,
4.5 Main water supply
4.6 Toilet facilities
4.7 Lighting
4.8 Cooking fuel
Implications for planning
-
Given the importance of
family units, the Government should formulate family-sensitive policies in
the fields of housing, work, health, social security and education in order
to create an environment supportive of the family, taking into account its
various forms and functions.
-
Increases in one-person and
nuclear family type households point to the need to strengthen traditional
family networks with a view to providing social security services for the
elderly.
-
Increasing female-headed
households creates a demand for low-cost housing as women are usually in the
lower income brackets.
-
Provision of a safe and
reliable water supply for all people in Fiji should be a priority for the
Government in view of the large proportion of households that still rely on
communal standpipes, well, river or creek for their main sources of water.
This will have positive implications for social and economic development.
For example, health problems caused by unsafe drinking water and inadequate
sanitation will be minimised.
-
In view of the importance
of wood-fuel in Fiji households, the Government should promote
environmentally friendly and sustainable wood-fuel sources. (p.26)
5. ECONOMIC ACTIVITY
5.1 Economic activity of
population aged 15 years and over
5.2 Economic activity by
ethnicity
5.3 Economic activity by
educational attainment
5.4 Employment levels by
province and sex
5.5. Occupation of employed
persons
Implications for Planning
-
Investment in human
resource development should be given priority in budgets at all levels. In
view of the low levels of Fijian paid employment, special human resource
development programs should be developed to cater for their needs. Programs
should be specifically directed at increasing access to information,
education, skill development, and employment opportunities, both formal and
informal.
-
Regional growth centres
should be developed in order to share out the benefits of development to
people in other areas of Fiji, especially in the Northern and Eastern
Divisions and in the rural areas of the Central and Western Divisions.
Consequently, there would be less reliance on subsistence activities in
these areas and their standard of living would improve.
-
Existing inequities and
barriers to women in the workforce should be eliminated. Women should be
encouraged to participate in all policy-making and implementation by
appointing them to legislative and managerial positions. Their access to
productive resources, ownership of land, and their right to inherit property
should be promoted and strengthened.
-
Training of women in hard
core science and other disciplines where they still lag behind males should
be encouraged at all levels of education.
-
Job creation in the
industrial and service sectors, and especially the agricultural sector
should be facilitated by Government and the private sector through the
establishment of more favourable climates for expanded trade and investment.
Care needs to be taken that this is carried out on an environmentally sound
basis, with greater investment in human resource development and the
development of democratic institutions and good governance. (p.32)
6. POPULATION
DYNAMICS
6.1 Population growth
Implications for planning
-
The low population growth
rate of 0.8% per annum was brought about by a high net migration rate of
-1.1% which countered the relatively high natural increase of 1.9%. However,
the high rate of natural increase could lead to high population growth
should net migration reverse its current trend. Efforts should therefore
continue to be directed at reducing the fertility level, especially of the
Fijians.
-
In order to cater for the
large number of young people, especially young Fijians, mechanisms should be
in place to meet their health, education, employment and housing and related
needs, to ensure that they enjoy a good quality of life, and to increase
their contribution to sustainable development. (p.34)
6.2 Fertility
Implications for Planning
- A slowing of Fiji’s growth rate;
- Fiji’s population becoming older, as the
proportion of children reduces;
- Fewer school children;
-
preventing unwanted
pregnancies and reducing the incidence of high-risk pregnancies;
-
improving the quality of
family planning advice, information, education, communication, counselling
and services;
-
making quality family
planning services affordable, acceptable and accessible to all who need
and want them, while maintaining confidentiality;
-
increasing the
participation and sharing of responsibility of men in the actual practice
of family planning. (p.37)
6.3 Mortality
Implications for Planning
- With mortality levels stagnating during the
last 10 years or so, there is a need to prolong the healthy life span and
improve the quality of life of all people. Actions should include:
-
making access to basic
health care and health promotion the central strategies for reducing
mortality and morbidity. Sufficient resources should be assigned so that
primary health services attain full coverage of the population. Government
should strengthen health and nutrition information, education and
communication activities so as to enable people to increase their control
over and improve their health;
-
the role of women as
primary custodians of family health should be recognised and supported and
at the same time, men should be encouraged to share this responsibility;
-
Government should ensure
community participation in health policy planning, especially with respect
to the long-term care of the elderly and those infected with HIV/AIDS and
other endemic diseases;
-
Government should
re-examine training curricula and the delegation of responsibilities
within the health-care delivery system in order to reduce the frequent,
unnecessary and costly reliance on physicians and on secondary- and
tertiary-care facilities, while maintaining effective referral services;
-
through technology
transfer, Government can seek assistance in building its capacity to
produce generic drugs for the domestic market and to ensure the wide
availability and accessiblity of such drugs;
-
priority should be given
to measures that improve the quality of life and health by ensuring a safe
and sanitary living environment for all population groups through measures
aimed at avoiding crowded housing conditions, reducing air pollution,
ensuring access to clean water and sanitation, improving waste management,
and increasing the safety of the workplace;
-
reform of the health
sector and health policy, including the rational allocation of resources,
should be promoted in order to achieve the stated objectives;
-
there is a need for
inter-sectoral coordination because health is a crosscutting issue and not
merely the concern of the health sector. (p.40)
6.4 Migration
6.4.1. Internal Migration
Implications for Planning
-
When formulating population
distribution policies, Government should ensure that the objectives and
goals of those policies are consistent with other development goals,
policies and basic human rights. With the assistance of interested local,
divisional and intergovernmental agencies, Government should assess on a
regular basis how the consequences of their economic and environmental
policies, sectoral priorities, infrastructural investment and balance of
resources among divisional, central, provincial and local authorities
influence population distribution and internal migration. This applies to
both permanent and temporary migration.
-
In order to achieve a
balanced spatial distribution of production employment and population,
Government should adopt sustainable regional development strategies and
strategies for the encouragement of urban consolidation, the growth of small
or medium sized urban centres and the sustainable development of rural
areas. This includes the adoption of labour-intensive projects, training for
non-farming jobs for youth and effective transport and communication
systems.
-
To reduce urban bias and
isolated rural development, Government should examine the feasibility of
providing incentives to encourage the redistribution and relocation of
industries and businesses from urban to rural areas. Government should also
encourage the establishment of new businesses, industrial units and
income-generating projects in rural areas.
-
In order to create
alternatives to out-migration from rural areas, Government should establish
the preconditions for development in rural areas. These include actively
supporting access to ownership or use of land and access to water resources,
making and encouraging investments to enhance rural productivity, improving
rural infrastructure and social services and facilitating the establishment
of credit, production and marketing of cooperatives and other grassroots
organisations that give people greater control over resources and improve
their livelihoods.
-
Government should pursue
development strategies offering tangible benefits to investors in rural
areas and to rural producers. Government should also seek to reduce
restrictions on international trade in agricultural products.
-
Government should
strengthen its capacity to respond to pressures caused by mass movement of
people to Greater Suva and the main urban centres in the Western Division,
by revising and reorienting the agencies and mechanisms for urban management
as necessary and ensuring the wide participation of all population groups in
planning and decision-making relating to local development. (p.44)
6.4.2 International migration
Implications for Planning
-
Population growth during
the period 1986-96 was reduced by the high migration rate. However, if
migration trends were to reverse, this would result in a high growth rate
because of the high rate of natural increase. To illustrate the point:
-
more opportunities for
training in professional, technical and managerial positions, keeping in
mind past trends when awarding scholarships;
-
expanded training
programs in both public and private sectors in the professional and
technical areas, and management at all levels to meet current and
anticipated demands in the future;
-
More opportunities to be
given to women to be appointed to managerial positions at all levels, in
view of the high rate of emigration of male managers.
7. LIKELY FUTURE DEVELOPMENTS
8. OVERALL IMPLICATION FOR
PLANNERS AND POLICY MAKERS
-
Population projections for
Fiji in 2011 range from 869,459 to 1,050,537 depending on future levels of
fertility and migration assumed. Considering the Medium Variant as the most
likely scenario, the population could reach 963,546 people in the year 2011,
an increase of 188,469 people compared to the 1996 Census population,
representing an annual growth rate of 1.5%.
-
Fiji’s population is
likely to have undergone some changes by the year 2011 (Table 8 and Appendix
Table 33). The proportion aged less than 15 years is likely to be lower,
while the working ages, 15-59, and elderly, 60 + are likely to be higher.
This would mean that there would be a change in the age-dependency ration,
with a decrease in the ratio of young dependents and an increase in the
ratio of elderly dependents. This change would result in a shift in the
demand for services from the young to the elderly. For example an increased
percentage of old people would demand more health and social services.
-
The higher proportion of
adults would lead to an increase in the median ages of between 4 and 6 years
between 1996 and 2011.
-
The proportion of the
population in the working ages would increase in all scenarios, although the
magnitude differs markedly. The High Variant shows the largest increase
compared to the other two scenarios. The increases range from 8% for the Low
Variant to 36% for the High Variant.
-
International migration has
and will continue to be a major force in Fiji’s population growth.
However, given the vulnerability of international migration to external
forces, the Government should be aware of the far-reaching effects of
fluctuations in migration trends. For example, what if net migration was
zero - that is, arrivals equal departures; or if net migration were to
double?
-
The concentration of people
in the urban areas of the Central and Western Divisions justifies the
provision of good services in these areas. Care needs to be taken to provide
similar services in other areas, especially rural areas.
-
Fiji’s young age
structure demands that a large proportion of its resources be invested in
children - their education and training, employment and health services.
-
The education and training
of young people should go hand-in-hand with economic and social development
policies. Government should encourage higher education, especially tertiary
education among the Fijian component who still lag behind other ethnic
groups.
-
Increases in 1-person and
nuclear family households point to the need to strengthen traditional family
networks in anticipation of an increased elderly population in the future.
-
Increasing numbers of
female-headed households creates a demand for low-cost housing for women,
who are usually in the lower income brackets. Mechanisms need to be in place
to take care of problems associated with changing family roles as more and
more women join the workforce and become the main breadwinners.
-
In the interest of equity,
women should be encouraged to share in decision-making at all levels, by
promoting them to legislative and managerial positions.
-
The provision of a safe and
reliable water supply for all households in Fiji should be one of Government’s
priorities.
-
Investment in human
resource development must be given priority in budgets at all levels.
-
Regional growth centres
should be developed further to share out the benefits of development to
areas such as the Northern and Eastern Divisions and the rural areas of the
Central and Western Divisions.
-
Job creation in the
industrial and service sectors and the agricultural sectors should be
facilitated by Government and the private sector through the establishment
of more favourable climates for expanded trade and investment.
-
Government should ensure
community participation in health policy planning especially with respect to
the long-term care of the elderly.
-
With mortality levels
stagnating during the last 10 years or so, there is a need to prolong the
healthy life span and improve the quality of all people.
-
When formulating population
distribution policies are consistent with other development goals, policies
and basic human rights.
-
Reliable statistics on
births, deaths and migration provide the basis for sensible development
planning. They are indispensable for keeping data for sensible population
projections. The impact and success of any policies, programs and projects
designed to influence fertility, mortality and migration, could be readily
evaluated with the help of a complete, reliable vital registration system.
In recognition of the fact that civil registration is the ideal source of
vital statistics, it is recommended that an evaluation of the registration
system in Fiji is carried out. It is understood that birth registration is
almost complete, while death registration is lagging behind. The extent to
which these events are under-registered can only be confirmed by a proper
evaluation of the system.
-
Although availability of
good data is one pre-condition for responsible development planning, data
analysis, interpretation and utilisation are of equal importance. This
requires adequately trained staff. Population projections are an essential
planning tool, and an improved knowledge of the interrelationship between
population and development is essential to provide a firm basis for
undertaking demographic projections and scenario-building. Sector-specific
projections in such important sectors as education, health and manpower
planning are also needed, and require close cooperation between all
stakeholders. This population profile presents some of the basic building
blocks which planners can use to plan for future population needs. (p.55-57)
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