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Part
4: Energy Sector Development Issues in Tajikistan
By D. Mansurov*
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1.
Introduction
2. Energy Resources in Tajikistan
3. Tariff Policy and its Role in Increasing Energy
Efficiency
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Introduction
In order to facilitate the country's integration into the world
economy, Tajikistan should establish an efficient national energy
system capable of providing greater national energy independence
and sufficient affordable energy supplies for all sectors of the
economy. The main constraints of energy sector development in
Tajikistan can be described by two main aspects: lack of supply
side efficiency and difficulties with transition towards market
economy.
Tajikistan is largely independent in energy supply but its energy
supply has been highly monopolized. The transition of the national
economy to greater resource efficiency is one of the most important
factors for economic stabilization. New financial and administrative
measures and regulations are required to achieve greater energy
efficiency.
The vitality and development of the national economy depends on
reliability and quality of energy supply, which in turn depends
on the existence of an effective energy sector. The national reforms
and energy sector development efforts currently under way in Tajikistan
aim at building more and more efficient use of the accessible
resources.
Since Tajikistan is facing a transition of its economy, there
is a need for stringent policy reforms in the energy sector. The
following are the envisaged goals of the reform process:
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greater
national energy security; |
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sufficient production of energy for domestic use; |
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sustainable development of energy sector with growing use
of renewable sources of energy. |
These goals can only be achieved by improving efficiency of the
entire sector. This includes a reconstruction and development
of the existing energy systems in Central Asia and their extension
to the other ECO countries. A restructuring and privatization
of the energy sector is also an essential precondition.
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Energy
Resources in Tajikistan
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Oil: Tajikistan has only limited reserves of hydrocarbon
resources. Most of the country's hydrocarbon resources are located
deep underground. In addition it is difficult to evaluate these
resources due to complicated geological conditions, deep location
and ambiguous geophysical interpretation. It has been estimated
that oil exploration would cost about US$ 330 million but the
risks of such investments not being feasible are too high.
Coal: Coal reserves in Tajikistan surpass those of oil
and gas. Proven deposits of coal are estimated to hold 5-6 billion
tons of coal. Most coal mining sites are located in hard-to-reach
mountainous areas where there is no railroad, which makes industrial
development not feasible.
Renewable Energy: Tajikistan accounts for 10 per cent of
hydropower resources of the CIS countries and more than 50 per
cent of the hydropower potential of Central Asia. This is a good
precondition to make this country an energy exporter to the CIS
countries and other neighbouring countries. Consequently, hydropower
is a strategic resource and it is expedient to investigate strategies
of further development of hydropower energy systems in Tajikistan.
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Tariff Policy and its Role in Increasing Energy Efficiency
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One of the priority tasks at present is to improve the
tariff policy. Tariffs create the basic income to cover the expenses
of energy production as well as profits necessary to set up public
funds to invest in modernizing and development of energy supply
facilities. In Tajikistan, market competition in energy supply
is not yet possible. Hence all tariffs are required to be determined
by Government. Tariff policy should also protect interests of
consumers.
For Tajikistan, attraction of private sector investors into energy
sector development is a great challenge. Privatization of large
energy supply facilities may be not feasible, at least for the
time being. Instead, it may be an option to offer separate subsystems
of the energy complex and the water economy to private sector
interests if favorable conditions for exporting hydro-energy resources
can be established. As part of energy sector reforms, a new system
of management should be introduced including a series of normative-legal
and financial means to regulate energy supplies.
The
Government of Tajikistan has formulated a plan for energy sector
rehabilitation. The first priority is given to the rehabilitation
of existing energy facilities. Development Fund of Kuwait has
allocated a grant of US$487,000 for the renovation of electric
networks in Dushanbe for the years 2001-2002. Other important
projects that need investment include the construction of large
electric power plants such as Rogunskaya GES and Sangtydinskaya
GES. At the same time minor hydroelectric power plants should
also be built. Islamic Bank of Development allocated a credit
of US$9.0 million for the Minor GES Development Fund for the years
2000-2001.
There is, however, still a need of large investments in order
to improve technical conditions of the energy sector of Tajikistan.
The construction of a number of large hydroelectric power plants,
including Rogunskaya GES, has been halted due to lack of financing.
Since 1991 the energy sector in Tajikistan has been in a difficult
financial situation, as both consumers and state financing organs
are insolvent.
Tajikistan is now providing favourable conditions for foreign
investments through the "Act on Foreign Investments in the Republic
of Tajikistan". This new law states that legal conditions for
foreign investments cannot be less favourable than those for local
institutions, organizations, and citizens. With the fore mentioned
development efforts it is expected that the energy sector development
prospects may improve significantly in the near future.
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* Deputy Principal Engineer, Tadjik Power
Company, Tadjikistan
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