Foreword
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contents

part1

Part 2

Part 3








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Part 1 : Policy Issues in Promotion of Investments in Energy Efficiency

1. Energy and sustainable development

2. Structure and trends of energy consumption in industries

3. Potentials for energy efficiency improvements in industries

4. Barriers to energy efficiency investments
  4.1 Pay-back period criterion
  4.2 Subsidized energy prices
  4.3 Capital availability, capital costs, uncertainty and risks
  4.4 Information, transaction costs and limitations in access to foreign currency
  4.5 Possible disruption of production and the related "transition costs"
  4.6 Unstable economy with high inflation and unstable exchange rates and taxation
  4.7 Lack of skilled personnel or energy managers.
  4.8 "Invisibility" of the impacts of energy efficiency measures
  4.9 General aversion of perceived risks

5. Policy options for promotion of energy efficiency investments
  5.1 Energy pricing
  5.2 Optional economic instruments
  5.3 Other tools
  5.4 Information and educational programmes

References





1. Energy and sustainable development

Affordable and clean energy is a precondition for all economic activities and sustainable development. Ever since the industrial revolution global energy production and consumption has been on the rise. In 1996, global annual consumption of commercial energy amounted to 8,380 mtoe. During the 1990s, global commercial energy consumption was estimated to have grown on average by about 2.3 per cent per year, and there are all the reasons to project a continued and perhaps accelerated rate of global energy consumption growth in the future.

The energy resource endowment among continents and countries is highly uneven. However, most of our energy systems predominantly rely on fossil fuels, which contribute some 90 per cent to the current primary energy supply.

There are great disparities in access to modern forms of energy, in particular in access to electricity. Whilst in the industrialized world per capita consumption of electricity reaches or exceeds 8000 kWh per capita per year, the same in the lesser and least developed countries remains low, sometimes even below 400 kWh per capita per year. This fact suggests that the average levels of consumption between countries can differ by as much as a factor of 20.

Considering the large hitherto unmet demand for energy in general, and electricity in particular, we ought to assume that global and regional energy consumption will continue to grow in the near, intermediate and longer term future.

This perspective thus shows the significance of the sustainability question. The world still has ample supply of lignite, coal, oil and natural gas, but these reserves are not infinite. For example, some recent estimates indicate that at their current rates of production, proven reserves of coal may last for another 218 years, natural gas another 63 years, and oil reserves another 41 years.* Our current fossil fuel based energy systems do not seem to be viable in any longer term perspective.

Apart from the predictable resource constraints, the growing environmental concerns also call for a stringent review of the present energy systems and energy sector development policies. Energy production and use has environmental impacts at different levels, local, regional and global. At the local level, combustion of fossil fuels creates air pollution and urban smog. Sulphur oxides can lead to acid rains. Oil spills in national and international waters can also be considered environmental impacts of energy trade. At the global level, greenhouse gas emissions, including carbon dioxide and methane, increase the risks of climate change.

Modern commercial energy supply systems include long chains of energy conversions, and as shown by many studies, efficiency gains and improvements are possible and necessary at almost all stages of energy conversion, transmission and distribution. "Achieving a sustainable energy future for all" is a universal goal, placed on the agenda of United Nations organizations by international consensus. To achieve this goal more and better integrated energy-environment planning, increased use and contribution of renewable sources of energy in overall energy supply and promotion of energy efficiency are important elements to be incorporated into any energy-environment development strategy.

Figure 1.1 Fossil fuel reserve/production (R/P) ratios at the end of 1998

Source: BP Amoco Statistical Review of World Energy, June 1999.

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2. Structure and trends of energy consumption in industries


Industries account for approximately 43 per cent of global energy end use. Energy use in the industrial sector is dominated by the industrialized countries, which account for about 45 per cent of world industrial energy use. Developing countries and countries with economies in transition use approximately 32 per cent and 23 per cent of world industrial energy respectively.

Figure 1.2 Global Energy Consumption in Industry (Estimated at 1.34 exajoules)

Source : United Nations, Potential and Policy Implications of Energy and Material Efficiency Improvement (1997)

The industrial sector is very diverse and involves a wide range of activities including the extraction of natural resources, conversion into raw materials and manufacture of finished products. Energy intensity in manufacturing tends to differ from country to country depending on indigenous resource endowment and local energy prices. The five most energy intensive industrial sub-sectors include iron and steel, chemicals, petroleum refining, pulp and paper, and cement production. These sections account for approximately 45 per cent of all industrial energy consumption.

A summary overview of the industrial sector's energy consumption in 1997 in some of the countries of the ESCAP region is given below.

Table 1.1 Energy Consumption in Industry (in mtoe 1997)

China and India have been experiencing a rapid expansion in energy-intensive industries. Since the beginning of the 1990s China alone accounts for nearly half of total developing country manufacturing energy use. The rapid expansion of heavy industries has been the basis for China's growing prosperity.

Thailand and Malaysia are among the countries which also have a growing industrial sector. In the Philippines, Viet Nam and Bangladesh consumption of energy in industry is comparatively limited by international comparison, although at the local levels, industrial sector energy use has grown considerably.

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3. Potentials for energy efficiency improvements in industries


Energy efficiency measures may be implemented either as "efficiency retrofits", in which existing installations are improved through replacement with energy efficient components. Alternatively, energy efficiency investments can occur at the design and planning stage of new plants. At these stages the choice and installation of energy efficient technologies is an option for investors.

In order to promote energy conservation or efficient use of energy in industries, we may think of three different steps or levels:

...........Step 1: Active or efficient in-house management of energy efficiency through maintenance and housekeeping measures involves no or only very minimal investments.
...........Step 2: Replacement of selected equipment, which may require medium-size investments.
...........Step 3: Modification of entire manufacturing processes which may require large scale investments.

Active and efficient in-house energy management involves:

( a )
establishment of in-house energy management committees or groups;
( b )
designation of energy managers;
( c )
data collection;
( d )
improved maintenance;
( e )
safety issues; and
( f )
review of operational efficiency.

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Improvement of energy efficiency by replacement of selected equipment involving medium-size investment costs may be through :

( a )
improved waste heat recovery;
( b )
combustion control of furnaces;
( c )
co-generation of electricity and process heat; and
( d )
improvement of heat exchangers.

Major industrial process modifications involving large scale investment include

( a )
installation or improvements in advanced process controls;
( b )
installation of gas pressure recovery generators (in the iron and steel industry);
( c )
installation of waste heat recovery generators (in the cement industry);
( d )
change from "wet" to "dry" process (in cement industry).

Following is a brief listing of some of the main energy efficiency technologies for industry:

In combustion equipment, fuel efficiency can be improved through (a) automatic combustion control systems; (b) efficient burners; (c) flue gas heat recovery.

In heat utilization and heat recovery facilities, energy efficiency can be improved through (a) high efficiency heat exchangers; (b) improvement of heat insulation; (c) improved coating on the inside of furnaces; (d) micro-wave heating; (e) heat pattern control; (f) high efficiency steam traps; and (g) heat pumps. The use of co-generation technology and absorption chillers are also important energy efficiency improvement measures in industry.

Table 1.2 Assessed Energy Efficiency Potentials

Efficient use of electricity in industry can be achieved through high-efficiency motors, high-efficiency transformers; variable speed controls; automatic power factor controls; and demand control. In some industries, modifications or improvements in lighting also offer considerable energy savings. Efficient lighting facilities include utilization of high pressure sodium lamps; metal halide lamps and automatic lighting control.

Several recent studies that have assessed the technical potentials of energy efficiency improvements in some of the energy intensive sub-sectors concluded that energy savings of up to 30, 40 or even 50 per cent are technically possible in many industries and many countries. Not all energy savings that are technically possible are also economically viable. However, if it is assumed that approximately half of the fore mentioned saving potentials are both technically and financially sound, then comprehensive saving and conservative potentials could be realized.


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4. Barriers to energy efficiency investments


The fact that huge potentials for energy efficiency improvements exist but remain unused obviously indicates that there are barriers to the implementation of such measures.

The two major types of barriers include those that are related to or have a bearing on the assessed profitability of an investment, and other barriers, which may include barriers of a more of psychological type.

Some factors affecting the profitability of energy efficiency investments are explained in detail below.


4.1. Pay-back period criterion

Considerable number of studies have dealt with the question of how much profit investors are looking for before making an investment decision. Most of such studies suggest that energy efficiency investments that can be recovered in a short period of time are likely to be supported and implemented by management. On the other hand, investments which require five years or longer as a pay-back period may get the approval of very few managers only. As it stands, most energy efficiency retrofit projects require comparatively longer period to recover the investment costs and are therefore not regarded as "high priority" issues "requiring urgent action".

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4.2. Subsidized energy prices

In many countries, particularly in developing countries, energy prices often do not reflect the real and full costs of energy, as energy supply establishments are often quasi-government entities and thus receive direct or indirect subsidization. Energy pricing policies obviously have an immediate bearing on the viability of energy efficiency investments. In countries, in which energy prices are subsidized, under-investment in energy efficiency occurs.

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4.3. Capital availability, capital costs, uncertainty and risks

Capital availability, capital costs, uncertainty and risks are further important factors, which directly determine the feasibility of energy efficiency investments. Developing country investors procuring equipment from industrialized countries may have to bear the foreign exchange risks during any loan repayment period.

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4.4 Information, transaction costs and limitations in access to foreign currency

In many countries, access to and relative costs of external financing are an important barrier preventing potential investments. Information and transaction costs must also be taken into consideration as they are often important impediments to energy efficiency investments. In some countries, access to foreign currency is controlled or restricted. In these countries the import of energy efficient technologies may not be a viable option.

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4.5. Possible disruption of production and the related "transition costs"

Implementation of any measure of industrial manufacturing process modification may imply a temporary halt to production. Factory managers may prefer to avert such extra costs or complications.

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4.6. Unstable economy with high inflation and unstable exchange rates and taxation

In some developing countries direct or indirect taxation is sometimes high, especially for imported goods. High taxes can increase the first cost differentials between efficient and inefficient products, and thus add further disincentive to energy efficiency investments.

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4.7. Lack of skilled personnel or energy managers

Lack of human resources development in the area of energy efficiency affects energy conservation related activities in industries, especially in small scale industries of the developing countries.

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4.8. "Invisibility" of the impacts of energy efficiency measures

The rate of return on energy efficiency investments is often seen as too low and their influence on product cost or operational expenses may be regarded as marginal. Investors are often observed to prefer items that increase the quality of the product, increase productivity or contribute to comfort. Vendors of energy efficient technologies face the problem that energy savings cannot always be easily measured. The "invisibility" of the impacts of energy efficiency measures makes it sometimes difficult for vendors to convince their potential clients in the industrial sector.

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4.9. General aversion of perceived risks

Finally, there are also psychological factors affecting investment decisions on energy efficiency. These aspects include 'general aversion of perceived risks' involved in 'unknown', 'new' or 'not yet sufficiently proven' technologies.

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5. Policy options for promotion of energy efficiency investments


The main policy options to promote energy efficiency in general and energy efficiency investments will include some of the following:


5.1. Energy pricing

Markets are a powerful and fundamental force in wide-scale implementation of energy efficiency. Subsidies that depress prices of energy can provide a significant disincentive for energy efficiency investments. The removal of this barrier can be seen as an important step towards creating an investment climate in which energy efficiency can prosper.

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5.2. Optional economic instruments

Governments have at their disposal a variety of instruments such as tax credits or subsidized or low-interest loans through which energy efficiency improvements can be promoted. Part three of this publication presents several country studies that demonstrate the use of economic instruments for promotion of energy efficiency.

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5.3. Other tools

In addition to the economic instruments, there are also a variety of other tools for the promotion of energy efficiency. These other tools include regulatory measures, such as energy conservation laws, prescribing mandatory or voluntary minimum measures for efficient energy management in industries and minimum energy efficiency standards. Another tool to promote energy efficiency without mandatory regulations are "voluntary agreements". Furthermore, emission controls or environmental standards may also be found to "enforce" some forms of energy efficiency investments.

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5.4. Information and educational programmes

Programmes such as energy manager training or training in energy audits have a leading role in promoting energy efficiency investments the long term perspective.
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References


United Nations, 1997, Potentials and Policy Implications of Energy and Material Efficiency Improvement, New York

World Resources Institute, 1995a, Efficient Use of Energy Utilizing High Technology: An Assessment of Energy Use in Industry and Building, London. U.K


World Resources Institute, 1995b, Global Transport Sector Energy Demand Towards 2020, London. U.K

Worrell, 1995, Energy Savings in the Nitrogen Fertilizer Industry, Fertilizer Industry Annual Review 18

Worrell and De Beer, 1994, Potential Energy Savings in the Production Route for Plastics, Energy Conservating and Management 35 pp.1073 - 1086

Tata Energy Research Institute, 1994, TERI Energy Data Directory and Yearbook 1994/1995, Pauls Press, New Delhi, India

Liu, F., Ross, M., and Wang, S., 1995, The Energy Efficiency of China's Cement Industry, Energy 20 pp. 669-681

Liu, Z., Sinton, J.E., Yang, F., Leving, M.D., and Ting, M., 1994, Industrial Sector Energy Conservation Programs in the People's Republic of China during the Seventh Five-year Plan (1986 - 1990), Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, USA

OECD/IEA Energy Balances of Non-OECD Countries, 1997


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1. BP Amoco Statistical Review of World Energy, June 1999

 

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