| PART ONE: RECENT ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL DEVELOPMENTS
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I. GLOBAL ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENTS AND IMPLICATIONS FOR THE ESCAP REGION
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Survey 2000 contents
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Table I.1. Selected indicators of global economic conditions, 1996-2000
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| 1996
| 1997
| 1998
| 1999a
| 2000b
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Economic growth (percentage change of GDP)
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World
| 3.0 | 3.2 | 1.6 | 2.6 | 2.8
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Developed economies
| 2.9 | 2.6 | 1.8 | 2.5 | 2.2
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- Japan
| 3.9 | 0.9 | -2.9 | 0.9 | 1.0
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- United States of America
| 3.4 | 3.9 | 3.9 | 3.9 | 2.4
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- European Union
| 1.7 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 2.1 | 2.6
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| Developing economies | 5.7 | 5.5 | 1.2 | 3.3 | 5.1
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| Economies in transition | -0.1 | 1.7 | -0.4 | 1.6 | 2.2
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| Growth in volume of trade (percentage)c
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| World | 6.8 | 9.9 | 3.6 | 3.7 | 6.2
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| Developed economies | Export | 6.3 | 10.3 | 3.2 | 3.0 | 6.2
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| Import | 6.5 | 9.2 | 4.8 | 5.9 | 5.9
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| Developing economies | Export | 8.8 | 11.4 | 4.9 | 2.4 | 5.6
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| Import | 8.3 | 11.4 | -1.3 | 1.1 | 7.2
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| Commodity prices
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| (annual percentage change; US dollar terms)
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| Non-fuel primary commodities | -1.2 | -3.3 | -14.8 | -7.2 | 3.4
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| Oil | 18.4 | -5.4 | -32.1 | 27.7 | 7.8
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| Inflation rate (percentage)d
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| CPI in the developed economies | 2.4 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.8
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| CPI in the developing economies | 14.6 | 9.2 | 10.3 | 6.7 | 5.8
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| Exchange rates
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| (nominal units per US dollar; 1995 = 100)e
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| Yen per US dollar | 115.6 | 128.6 | 139.1 | 125.9 | 126.7
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| Deutsche mark per US dollar | 105.0 | 121.0 | 122.8 | 127.5 | 121.4
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| Euro per US dollar | | | | 0.86-0.94f |
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Sources: United Nations, "Project LINK World Outlook: summary", 1 November 1999; IMF, World Economic Outlook (Washington DC), October 1999; and OECD Economic Outlook (Paris), June 1999.
a Preliminary estimate.
b Forecast.
c Exports and imports (goods and services).
d Developed and developing economies ratios weighted at purchasing power parity.
e Period average.
f Exchange rate between January and August.
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